Breakeven Analysis at Great Threads

 

        The Great Threads Company sells hand-knit sweaters.  Great Threads is planning to print a catalog of its products and undertake a direct mail campaign.  The cost of printing the catalog is $20,000 plus 0.10 per catalog.  The cost of mailing each catalog (including postage, order forms, and buying names from a mail-order data-base) is $0.15.  In addition, the company will include direct reply envelopes in its mailings.  It incurs $0.20 in extra costs for each direct mail envelope that is used by a respondent.  The average size of a customer order is $40, and the company’s variable cost per order (due primarily to labor and material costs) averages around 80% of the order’s value.  The company plans to mail 100,000 catalogs.  Following is a model that illustrates Great Threads situation:

 

Great Threads direct mail model

 

 

 

Range names used:
FCostPrinting - B4
VCostsMailing - B6:B7
NumMailed - B8
AvgOrder - B11
VCostOrderPct - B12
VCostEnvelopes - B13
ResponseRate - E4
NumResponses - E5
Revenue - E8
Costs - E10:E12
TotalCost - E13
Profit - E14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mailing inputs

 

 

Model of responses

 

 

 

 

Fixed cost of printing

$20,000

 

Response rate (trial value)

8%

 

 

 

Variable costs

 

 

Number of responses

8000

 

 

 

Printing

$0.10

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mailing, buying names

$0.15

 

Model of revenue, costs, and profit

 

 

 

Number mailed

100000

 

Revenue

$320,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs

 

 

 

 

Order inputs

 

 

Fixed

$20,000

 

 

 

Average order

$40

 

Variable from mailing

$25,000

 

 

 

Variable cost (% of order)

80%

 

Variable from orders

$257,600

 

 

 

Variable cost of envelopes

$0.20

 

Total cost

$302,600

 

 

 

 

 

 

Profit

$17,400

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

          Using this model, Great Threads seeks to answer four questions:

How does a change in the response rate affect profit? (see solution for question one)

For what response rate does the company breakeven? ("  "question two)

If the company estimates a response rate of 3%, should it proceed with the mailing? ("  " question three)

How does the presence of uncertainty affect the usefulness of the model? ("  " question four)